Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

O'Fallon Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 29183311603 · St. Charles County, MO · pop 3,293 · 92% of tract blocks fall in O'Fallon

Census tract 29183311603 covers part of O'Fallon, MO, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,293 residents. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 28% Owners 53%

Tract context

Occupied units1,374

Renter share46.1%

SVI overall0.33

Poverty rate11.2%

Median income$76,818

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across O'Fallon and the region

Centroid at 38.8233, -90.6753 · click any tract to drill in

Why O'Fallon scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from O'Fallon

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Missouri legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

11.2% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$1,089 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from O'Fallon

4.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from O'Fallon

4.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from O'Fallon

3.6

How O'Fallon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

49%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
30%Racial/ethnic minority
14%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.6%Housing insecurity
8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
12.7%Food insecurity
9.8%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
8.3%No health insurance
18.1%Frequent mental distress
37.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in O'Fallon

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.6/10. Average gross rent is $1,089, 25% below the O'Fallon average. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10.

It sits 1.0 points above the St. Charles County average of 3.5. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.8/10. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 3.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $76,818, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

40% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 29183311603

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29183311603?

Census tract 29183311603 in O'Fallon scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 29183311603?

Median gross rent is $1,089/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 29183311603?

11.2% of residents in tract 29183311603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,293.

How socially vulnerable is tract 29183311603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 53th, minority 30th, housing 14th.

What share of households in tract 29183311603 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 29183311603 compare to O'Fallon overall?

Tract 29183311603 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of O'Fallon at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from O'Fallon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in O'Fallon

Top eight tracts in O'Fallon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.