Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

College Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis

Tract 29510109600 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 3,185 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 5.6/10, tract 29510109600 in the College Hill area of St. Louis, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 29% Owners 45%

Tract context

Occupied units1,165

Renter share54.6%

SVI overall0.93

Poverty rate34.3%

Median income$30,961

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.6836, -90.2154 · click any tract to drill in

Why College Hill scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from St. Louis

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.3

State political climate

Missouri legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

34.3% poverty · this tract

8.6

Supply constraint

$852 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from St. Louis

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from St. Louis

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from St. Louis

5.0

How College Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

92%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
96%Racial/ethnic minority
70%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

8%Grade A
19%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

879Total filings over 13 yrs
10.69%Avg annual filing rate
15.1%Peak (2007)
53Filings in 2017 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 to 2017

Filings dropped 20% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

219Total filings 2020-21
2.8Avg monthly (observed)
4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.62×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within College Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

34.5%Housing insecurity
29.7%Utility-shutoff threat
42.3%Food insecurity
43.5%SNAP enrollment
22.4%Transit barriers
13.1%No health insurance
20.9%Frequent mental distress
50.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in College Hill

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 29.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Disability prevalence runs 50.1% against 31.5% nationally. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 8.6/10.

The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $30,961, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10. It sits 1.2 points above the St. Louis City average of 4.4.

Cost burden runs 47% here against 41.6% across St. Louis City. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 879 filings here across 13 tracked years.

At $852 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of St. Louis commands. Filings peaked in 2007 at 15.1% of renter households.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 29510109600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510109600?

Census tract 29510109600 in the College Hill neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 29510109600?

Median gross rent is $852/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 29510109600?

34.3% of residents in tract 29510109600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,185.

How socially vulnerable is tract 29510109600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 93th, minority 96th, housing 70th.

Is tract 29510109600 considered part of College Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510109600 fall within College Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510109600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 879 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510109600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.69% of renter households, peaking at 15.1% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 29510109600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 29510109600 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 29510109600 compare to St. Louis overall?

Tract 29510109600 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 29510109600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis

Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org