Eviction Risk in Dutchtown , St. Louis
Tract 29510116302 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,392 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 29510116302 sits in the Dutchtown neighborhood of St. Louis, Missouri. It has a population of 2,392 and an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). 66% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 24% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $889/month against a median household income of $38,906 — roughly 27% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
Black-Hispanic Neighborhood — 2,622 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 22.8%
- White (non-Hispanic) 20.1%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 33.7%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 18.9%
- Other / Multiracial 4.6%
How the 6.2/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 8.1 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 2.1 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 8.3 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 7.0 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 2.0 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 5.0 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 5.5 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 5.0 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 6.2 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 2.3 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,031Total filings over 13 yrs
- 8.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.8%Peak (2007)
- 88Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 433Total filings 2020-21
- 5.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Dutchtown. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.0%Housing insecurity
- 23.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.0%Food insecurity
- 33.4%SNAP enrollment
- 20.0%Transit barriers
- 16.8%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 43.1%Any disability
Dominant grade: B — still desirable
Approximately 100% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in St. Louis. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 98.8%B (Desirable)
- 1.2%C (Declining)
- 0.0%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 29510116302
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510116302?
Census tract 29510116302 in the Dutchtown neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 29510116302?
Median gross rent is $889/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510116302?
24.6% of residents in tract 29510116302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,392.
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510116302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 80th, minority 78th, housing 25th.
Is tract 29510116302 considered part of Dutchtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510116302 fall within Dutchtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510116302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,031 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510116302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.40% of renter households, peaking at 11.8% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Did eviction filings in tract 29510116302 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
What share of households in tract 29510116302 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.5% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 29510116302 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is B (Still Desirable). Roughly 0% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in St. Louis. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.