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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Dutchtown Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Louis

Tract 29510115300 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 4,987 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

29510115300 is a census tract in the Dutchtown area of St. Louis, MO. It scores 3.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,987 residents. The score leans hardest on regional political climate at 8.3/10.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 27% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,417
Renter share41.5%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$51,563

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Dutchtown
Very Low
Within parent city
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#75 of 104 tracts In St. Louis
Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#75 of 104 tracts In St. Louis city
Low
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#782 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.5808, -90.2551 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dutchtown scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$992 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0

How Dutchtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dutchtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.6This tracttract 1153004.2St. Louisparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,331Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 12.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.6%Peak (2004)
  • 85Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 29510115300
Filings dropped 42% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 389Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 8.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dutchtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dutchtown

21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Against St. Louis City at 41.6%, around a third of renters here are cost-burdened.

Court records carry 1,331 eviction filings across 13 observed years. Against the St. Louis City average of 4.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2004, when 17.6% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 12.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 29510115300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510115300?

Census tract 29510115300 in the Dutchtown neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29510115300?

Median gross rent is $992/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29510115300?

10.9% of residents in tract 29510115300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,987.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29510115300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 62th, minority 71th, housing 29th.
Q5

Is tract 29510115300 considered part of Dutchtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510115300 fall within Dutchtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510115300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,331 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510115300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.74% of renter households, peaking at 17.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 29510115300 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 29510115300 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 29510115300 compare to St. Louis overall?

Tract 29510115300 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 29510115300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis

Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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