1 census tracts · pop 3,977 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10
· range 4.1–4.1
Forest Park Southeast maps to a single census tract in St. Louis, MO and houses 3,977 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.1/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a St. Louis baseline of 28.2%, 59% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
38% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,343 a month, rents sit 35% over what the rest of St. Louis commands. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.
Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 567 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2007 at 9.9% of renter households. The voucher gap is 10.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
The most recent observed rate, 3.0% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 69 mapped neighborhoods of St. Louis, it ranks #44 by risk, the middle third.
For a like-for-like read, Visitation Park and Tower Grove South score within a fraction of it.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Forest Park Southeast vs St. LouisHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority53%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport94%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Forest Park Southeast
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
567Total filings (sum)
5.14%Avg annual filing rate
9.9%Peak year (2007)
3.03%Latest filed (2017)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
168Total filings 2020-21
2.2Avg monthly observed
6.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.37×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Forest Park Southeast
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.7%Housing insecurity
8.3%Utility shutoff threat
12.3%Food insecurity
8.0%SNAP enrollment
6.7%No health insurance
27.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Forest Park Southeast
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Forest Park Southeast?
Forest Park Southeast scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Forest Park Southeast compare to St. Louis overall?
Forest Park Southeast scores 0.1 points lower than St. Louis overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,343 vs $997.
Q3
What is the average rent in Forest Park Southeast?
Average gross rent in Forest Park Southeast is $1,343/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Forest Park Southeast residents are renters?
67% of Forest Park Southeast households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in St. Louis). The neighborhood has 3,977 residents.
Q5
Is Forest Park Southeast a high social-vulnerability area?
Forest Park Southeast sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Forest Park Southeast for landlords?
Forest Park Southeast carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Louis as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Forest Park Southeast?
Forest Park Southeast has 3,974 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.5%), Hispanic / Latino (9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
