4 census tracts · pop 12,923 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10
· range 3–5.4
Tower Grove South spans 4 census tracts of St. Louis, MO, population 12,923. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.1/10, Moderate tier. Against a St. Louis baseline of 28.2%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 5.4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The severe-burden share is 20%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Filings are well documented here: 2,937 across 4 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 12.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.9% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 69 mapped neighborhoods of St. Louis, it ranks #44 by risk, the middle third.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Forest Park Southeast and Visitation Park. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Average gross rent runs $1,023, close to the St. Louis average.
48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Tower Grove South vs St. LouisHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport29%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Tower Grove South
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,937Total filings (sum)
6.64%Avg annual filing rate
12.0%Peak year (2015)
4.56%Latest filed (2017)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
644Total filings 2020-21
2.0Avg monthly observed
4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.39×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tower Grove South
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
15.8%Housing insecurity
12.2%Utility shutoff threat
16.8%Food insecurity
14.1%SNAP enrollment
8.8%No health insurance
31.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Tower Grove South
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Tower Grove South?
Tower Grove South scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Tower Grove South compare to St. Louis overall?
Tower Grove South scores 0.1 points lower than St. Louis overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,023 vs $997.
Q3
What is the average rent in Tower Grove South?
Average gross rent in Tower Grove South is $1,023/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Tower Grove South residents are renters?
48% of Tower Grove South households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in St. Louis). The neighborhood has 12,923 residents.
Q5
Is Tower Grove South a high social-vulnerability area?
Tower Grove South sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Tower Grove South have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Tower Grove South is census tract 29510116100 (score 5.4/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.4, a spread of 2.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Tower Grove South for landlords?
Tower Grove South carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Louis as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Tower Grove South?
Tower Grove South has 12,987 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (58.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25.6%), Hispanic / Latino (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
