Skip to content
Neighborhood · St. Louis, MO

Tower Grove South Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 12,923 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 3.2–5.5

Tower Grove South is a white-black neighborhood in St. Louis with 4 census tracts and a population of 12,923 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 20% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,023/month sits 3% higher than the St. Louis citywide average ($997).

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Tower Grove South vs St. Louis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.7% +44%
St. Louis: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$1,023 +3%
St. Louis: $997
Average HH income
$67,811 +18%
St. Louis: $57,574
Poverty rate
17.3% -14%
St. Louis: 20.0%
Renter share
48.4% -12%
St. Louis: 54.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tower Grove South and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.2–5.5

Why Tower Grove South scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
48% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
17.3% below poverty line · Range 1.2–6.9 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–4.5 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

Tower Grove South vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Tower Grove South score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Tower Grove South: 4.44.4Tower Grove SouthNeighborhoodParent city: 3.33.3Parent cityhost cityState: 2.62.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Tower Grove South?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.3 points from 3.2 to 5.5. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Tower Grove South

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
29510116100 5.5 3,306 52% $955
29510115200 5 2,682 60% $796
29510116301 4.3 3,198 27% $1,157
29510116200 3.2 3,737 28% $1,132
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 37

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 42%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 41%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 29%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Tower Grove South

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,937Total filings (sum)
  • 6.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.0%Peak year (2015)
  • 4.56%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 644Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.0Avg monthly observed
  • 4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.39×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tower Grove South

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Tower Grove South

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Tower Grove South?

Tower Grove South scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Tower Grove South compare to St. Louis overall?

Tower Grove South scores 1.1 points higher than St. Louis overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,023 vs $997.
Q3

What is the average rent in Tower Grove South?

Average gross rent in Tower Grove South is $1,023/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Tower Grove South residents are renters?

48% of Tower Grove South households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in St. Louis). The neighborhood has 12,923 residents.
Q5

Is Tower Grove South a high social-vulnerability area?

Tower Grove South sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Tower Grove South have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Tower Grove South is census tract 29510116100 (score 5.5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 5.5, a spread of 2.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Tower Grove South for landlords?

Tower Grove South carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Louis as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Tower Grove South?

Tower Grove South has 12,987 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (58.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25.6%), Hispanic / Latino (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tower Grove South

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Louis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Tower Grove South.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further