Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Park Southeast Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510118600 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 3,977 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 29510118600 sits in the Forest Park Southeast area of St. Louis, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. It is home to 3,977 residents. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,841
Renter share66.9%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$68,412
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
39
th percentile
Low
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6318, -90.2507 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Park Southeast scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,343 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Forest Park Southeast compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 11%Grade B
- 22%Grade C
- 14%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 567Total filings over 13 yrs
- 5.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.9%Peak (2007)
- 40Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 168Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.37×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.7%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.3%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Park Southeast
Against St. Louis City at 41.6%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,343 a month, rents run 35% over what the rest of St. Louis commands. The score leans hardest on regional political climate at 8.3/10.
This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 567 eviction filings across 13 observed years.
SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2007 at 9.9% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510118600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510118600?
Census tract 29510118600 in the Forest Park Southeast neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510118600?
Median gross rent is $1,343/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510118600?
19.5% of residents in tract 29510118600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,977.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510118600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 0th, minority 53th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 29510118600 considered part of Forest Park Southeast?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510118600 fall within Forest Park Southeast (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510118600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 567 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510118600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.14% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510118600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.37× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510118600 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510118600 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510118600 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510118600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 14% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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JeffVanderLou
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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College Hill
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Midtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Wells Goodfellow
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Penrose
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Columbus Square
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Old North Saint Louis
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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