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Neighborhood · St. Louis, MO

O'Fallon Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,199 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

O'Fallon maps to a single census tract in St. Louis, MO and houses 2,199 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 43% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Cost burden runs around two-thirds against 28.2% citywide, putting O'Fallon 37.3% over its own city. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Food insecurity affects 37.8% of adults, 20.0 points above the national rate.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Disability prevalence reaches 46.3% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.6/10. Court records for this tract carry 870 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2008, when filings touched 16.0% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 8.6% in 2017, is well off that peak. Average gross rent is $929, 7% below the St. Louis average of $997.

One tract means one number: 5.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
O'Fallon vs St. Louis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
65.5% +132%
St. Louis: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$929 -7%
St. Louis: $997
Average HH income
$28,411 -51%
St. Louis: $57,574
Poverty rate
24.5% +22%
St. Louis: 20.0%
Renter share
59.5% +9%
St. Louis: 54.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across O'Fallon and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why O'Fallon scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
66% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
60% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
24.5% below poverty line · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Risk score comparison

O'Fallon vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

O'Fallon score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.5O'FallonNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in O'Fallon

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
29510110200 5.5 2,199 66% $929
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 80

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 94%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 71%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 98%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 29%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in O'Fallon

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 870Total filings (sum)
  • 11.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.0%Peak year (2008)
  • 8.61%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 172Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.2Avg monthly observed
  • 4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.49×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in O'Fallon

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About O'Fallon

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for O'Fallon?

O'Fallon scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does O'Fallon compare to St. Louis overall?

O'Fallon scores 1.3 points higher than St. Louis overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $929 vs $997.
Q3

What is the average rent in O'Fallon?

Average gross rent in O'Fallon eviction risk is $929/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of O'Fallon residents are renters?

60% of O'Fallon households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in St. Louis). The neighborhood has 2,199 residents.
Q5

Is O'Fallon a high social-vulnerability area?

O'Fallon sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is O'Fallon for landlords?

O'Fallon eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Louis as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of O'Fallon?

O'Fallon has 1,828 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (92.7%), Other / Multiracial (3.5%), Hispanic / Latino (2.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near O'Fallon

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Louis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to O'Fallon.

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