Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
O'Fallon Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510110200 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,199 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
29510110200 is a census tract in the O'Fallon area of St. Louis, MO. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,199 residents. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,013
Renter share59.5%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate24.5%
Median income$28,411
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6722, -90.2283 · click any tract to drill in
Why O'Fallon scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
24.5% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$929 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How O'Fallon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 99%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 870Total filings over 13 yrs
- 11.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.0%Peak (2008)
- 46Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 172Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.49×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.9%Housing insecurity
- 27.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.8%Food insecurity
- 38.1%SNAP enrollment
- 20.2%Transit barriers
- 11.3%No health insurance
- 20.1%Frequent mental distress
- 46.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in O'Fallon
Against St. Louis City at 41.6%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened. Set annual rent against average income of $28,411 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 27.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Housing insecurity runs 31.9% against 14.2% nationally.
The score leans hardest on regional political climate at 8.3/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.
The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
It sits 1.1 points above the St. Louis City average of 4.4. The filing record is not thin: 870 evictions over 13 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2008 at 16.0% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510110200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510110200?
Census tract 29510110200 in the O'Fallon neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510110200?
Median gross rent is $929/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510110200?
24.5% of residents in tract 29510110200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,199.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510110200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 71th, minority 98th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 29510110200 considered part of O'Fallon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510110200 fall within O'Fallon (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510110200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 870 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510110200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.44% of renter households, peaking at 16.0% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510110200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.49× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510110200 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510110200 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510110200 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510110200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Academy
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Vandeventer
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Walnut Park East
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
North Riverfront
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Saint Louis Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mark Twain
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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