Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
O'Fallon Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510110200 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,199 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
The O'Fallon area of St. Louis is where census tract 29510110200 sits, home to 2,199 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #16,675 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $929 a month while the average household earns $28,411 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 60% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,013
Renter share59.5%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate24.5%
Median income$28,411
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6722, -90.2283 · click any tract to drill in
Why O'Fallon scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
24.5% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$929 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How O'Fallon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 99%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 870Total filings over 13 yrs
- 11.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.0%Peak (2008)
- 46Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 172Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.49×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.9%Housing insecurity
- 27.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.8%Food insecurity
- 38.1%SNAP enrollment
- 20.2%Transit barriers
- 11.3%No health insurance
- 20.1%Frequent mental distress
- 46.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in O'Fallon
What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.49x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510110200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510110200?
Census tract 29510110200 in the O'Fallon neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510110200?
Median gross rent is $929/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510110200?
24.5% of residents in tract 29510110200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,199.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510110200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 71th, minority 98th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 29510110200 considered part of O'Fallon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510110200 fall within O'Fallon (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510110200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 870 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510110200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.44% of renter households, peaking at 16.0% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510110200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.49× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510110200 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510110200 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510110200 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510110200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Midtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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Old North Saint Louis
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
JeffVanderLou
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Wells Goodfellow
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Columbus Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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