Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
The Ville Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510111300 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 1,542 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
29510111300 is a census tract in the The Ville area of St. Louis, MO. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,542. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units849
Renter share65.4%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate25.5%
Median income$30,708
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6592, -90.2404 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Ville scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
25.5% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$873 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How The Ville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 21%Grade C
- 79%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 508Total filings over 13 yrs
- 6.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.8%Peak (2015)
- 41Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 227Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.80×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.6%Housing insecurity
- 23.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.8%Food insecurity
- 35.0%SNAP enrollment
- 18.5%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 49.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Ville
Disability prevalence runs 49.3% against 31.5% nationally. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $30,708, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
What pushes it up most is regional political climate at 8.3/10. This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Cost burden runs 51% here against 41.6% across St. Louis City. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 23.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Against the St. Louis City average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 508 filings here across 13 tracked years. At $873 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of St. Louis commands.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510111300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510111300?
Census tract 29510111300 in the The Ville neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510111300?
Median gross rent is $873/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510111300?
25.5% of residents in tract 29510111300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,542.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510111300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 49th, minority 94th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 29510111300 considered part of The Ville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510111300 fall within The Ville (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510111300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 508 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510111300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.36% of renter households, peaking at 10.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510111300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510111300 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510111300 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510111300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510111300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 79% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Old North Saint Louis
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Academy
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Vandeventer
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Walnut Park East
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
North Riverfront
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Saint Louis Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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