Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Pagedale Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189214200 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 2,976 · 53% of tract blocks fall in Pagedale
Census tract 29189214200 covers Pagedale, home to 2,976 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,059 a month against an average household income of $40,916 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,330
Renter share55.1%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate22.3%
Median income$40,916
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pagedale and the region
Centroid at 38.6851, -90.3184 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pagedale scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pagedale
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
22.3% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,059 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pagedale
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pagedale
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pagedale
9.3
How Pagedale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 16%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 491Total filings over 8 yrs
- 13.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.7%Peak (2006)
- 59Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 364Total filings 2020-21
- 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.13×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.4%Housing insecurity
- 23.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.5%Food insecurity
- 33.6%SNAP enrollment
- 18.5%Transit barriers
- 12.2%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 46.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pagedale
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pagedale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 491 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 13.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 19.7% of renter households in 2006.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189214200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189214200?
Census tract 29189214200 in Pagedale scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189214200?
Median gross rent is $1,059/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189214200?
22.3% of residents in tract 29189214200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,976.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189214200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 8th, minority 91th, housing 93th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189214200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 491 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189214200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.11% of renter households, peaking at 19.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189214200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189214200 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189214200 compare to Pagedale overall?
Tract 29189214200 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Pagedale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pagedale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189214200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pagedale
Top eight tracts in Pagedale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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