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Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Webster Groves Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 29189219502 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 2,540

29189219502 is a census tract in Webster Groves, MO. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,540. 54% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 8% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,342
Renter share44.9%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$71,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Webster Groves
High
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#103 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Elevated
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#640 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Elevated
National
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#50,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Webster Groves and the region

Centroid at 38.5776, -90.3422 · click any tract to drill in

Why Webster Groves scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Webster Groves
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,463 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Webster Groves
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Webster Groves
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Webster Groves
5.0

How Webster Groves compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Webster Groves risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 2195024.0Webster Grovesparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 3Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.12×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Webster Groves

82% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the St. Louis County average of 42.0%. Set annual rent against average income of $71,250 and the ratio lands at 58%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

Average gross rent is $3,463, 110% above the Webster Groves average. The voucher gap is 185.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. SNAP participation runs 3.3% against 15.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the St. Louis County average of 4.0 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189219502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189219502?

Census tract 29189219502 in Webster Groves scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189219502?

Median gross rent is $3,463/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189219502?

4.3% of residents in tract 29189219502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,540.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189219502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 33th, minority 23th, housing 73th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 29189219502 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.12× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6

What share of households in tract 29189219502 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 29189219502 compare to Webster Groves overall?

Tract 29189219502 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Webster Groves at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Webster Groves eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 29189219502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Webster Groves

Top eight tracts in Webster Groves ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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