Patch Eviction Risk: Lower , Lemay
Tract 29189220200 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 5,070 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 29189220200 sits in the Patch area of Lemay eviction risk, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Population here is 5,070. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lemay and the region
Centroid at 38.5301, -90.2747 · click any tract to drill in
Why Patch scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Patch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 66%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 361Total filings over 8 yrs
- 8.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.7%Peak (2012)
- 48Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 238Total filings 2020-21
- 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.76×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Patch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.0%Food insecurity
- 11.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 38.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Patch
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10.
Court records carry 361 eviction filings across 8 observed years. At $1,002 a month, rents run 14% over what the rest of Lemay commands.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 12.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $68,059, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 29189220200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220200?
What is the average rent in tract 29189220200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220200?
Is tract 29189220200 considered part of Patch?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189220200?
Did eviction filings in tract 29189220200 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 29189220200 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 29189220200 compare to Lemay overall?
Was tract 29189220200 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Lemay
Top eight tracts in Lemay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.