Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #53,699 of 84,120 nationally
Patch Eviction Risk: Lower , Lemay
Tract 29189220200 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 5,070 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.6/10 for census tract 29189220200 reflects conditions in Patch in Lemay, Missouri. On the national scale it ranks #33,212 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,002 a month while the average household earns $68,059 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 7% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units2,002
Renter share7.3%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$68,059
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lemay and the region
Centroid at 38.5301, -90.2747 · click any tract to drill in
Why Patch scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lemay
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,002 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lemay
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lemay
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lemay
5.0
How Patch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 66%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000-2018)
- 361Total filings over 8 yrs
- 8.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.7%Peak (2012)
- 48Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)
- 238Total filings 2020-21
- 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.76×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Patch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.0%Food insecurity
- 11.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 38.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Patch
The score leans hardest on housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lemay eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.76x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189220200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220200?
Census tract 29189220200 in the Patch neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189220200?
Median gross rent is $1,002/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220200?
11.0% of residents in tract 29189220200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,070.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 79th, minority 31th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 29189220200 considered part of Patch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189220200 fall within Patch (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189220200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 361 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189220200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.61% of renter households, peaking at 12.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29189220200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.76× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29189220200 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29189220200 compare to Lemay overall?
Tract 29189220200 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Lemay at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lemay eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29189220200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lemay
Top eight tracts in Lemay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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