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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Patch Eviction Risk: Lower , Lemay

Tract 29189220200 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 5,070 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 29189220200 sits in the Patch area of Lemay eviction risk, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Population here is 5,070. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 4% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units2,002
Renter share7.3%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$68,059

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Patch
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Lemay
Very Low
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#102 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Elevated
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#640 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lemay and the region

Centroid at 38.5301, -90.2747 · click any tract to drill in

Why Patch scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lemay
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,002 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lemay
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lemay
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lemay
5.0

How Patch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Patch risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 2202003.2Lemayparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 361Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 8.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.7%Peak (2012)
  • 48Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 29189220200
Filings climbed 17% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 238Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.76×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Patch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Patch

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10.

Court records carry 361 eviction filings across 8 observed years. At $1,002 a month, rents run 14% over what the rest of Lemay commands.

The worst year on record was 2012, when 12.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $68,059, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189220200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220200?

Census tract 29189220200 in the Patch neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189220200?

Median gross rent is $1,002/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220200?

11.0% of residents in tract 29189220200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,070.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 79th, minority 31th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 29189220200 considered part of Patch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189220200 fall within Patch (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189220200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 361 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189220200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.61% of renter households, peaking at 12.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 29189220200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.76× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 29189220200 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 29189220200 compare to Lemay overall?

Tract 29189220200 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lemay at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lemay eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 29189220200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lemay

Top eight tracts in Lemay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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