Neighborhood · Great Falls, MT

Central Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,543 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 3.9–5.2

Central is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Great Falls with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,543 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 36% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 8% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $627/month sits 30% lower than the Great Falls citywide average ($900).

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Central vs Great Falls How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

36.2% +28%

Great Falls: 28.2%

Average gross rent

$627 -30%

Great Falls: $900

Average HH income

$57,902 -9%

Great Falls: $63,934

Poverty rate

19.1% +37%

Great Falls: 14.0%

Renter share

32.0% -6%

Great Falls: 33.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.9–5.2

Why Central scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Rent control risk

36% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

32% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Economic stress

19.1% below poverty line · Range 2.9–6.7 across tracts

4.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.4 across tracts

1.2

Risk score comparison

Central vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Central

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
30013000900	5.2	3,700	39%	$450
30013000300	3.9	3,843	34%	$797

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 57%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 40%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 79%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Central

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.1%Housing insecurity
9.0%Utility shutoff threat
16.7%Food insecurity
12.5%SNAP enrollment
11.0%No health insurance
36.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Central

What is the eviction-risk score for Central?

Central scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Central compare to Great Falls overall?

Central scores 2.4 points higher than Great Falls overall (2.1/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $627 vs $900.

What is the average rent in Central?

Average gross rent in Central is $627/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Central residents are renters?

32% of Central households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Great Falls). The neighborhood has 7,543 residents.

Is Central a high social-vulnerability area?

Central sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Central have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Central is census tract 30013000900 (score 5.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 5.2, a spread of 1.3 points.

How safe is Central for landlords?

Central carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Great Falls as a whole (2.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Central?

Central has 7,098 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.1%), Hispanic / Latino (9.3%), Other / Multiracial (9.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central

5.1 Downtown 4 tracts · pop 8,475 3.7 Eastside 4 tracts · pop 13,747 4.1 Westside 2 tracts · pop 8,067 3.5 Malmstrom Air Force Base 2 tracts · pop 4,318

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Great Falls

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central.

4.2 Sunnyside 1 tracts · pop 3,882 4.1 Westside 2 tracts · pop 8,067 5.2 Downtown 4 tracts · pop 8,475 3.7 Eastside 4 tracts · pop 13,747 3.4 Wadsworth Park 1 tracts · pop 2,094 2.9 Northside 1 tracts · pop 6,329

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