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Neighborhood · Great Falls, MT

Central Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,543 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.3–4.6

Central takes in 2 census tracts of Great Falls, MT, population 7,543. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.9/10, in the Lower tier. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.2/10. Average gross rent is $627, 30% below the Great Falls average of $900.

Cost burden runs 36% against 28.2% citywide, putting Central 8.0% over its own city. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.3 to 4.6, a 1.3-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

The poverty rate is 19%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Severe burden reaches 8%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

That places it #3 of 8 neighborhoods in Great Falls. Against average income of $57,902, annual rent is only 13%, a wide affordability cushion. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Central vs Great Falls How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.2% +28%
Great Falls: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$627 -30%
Great Falls: $900
Average HH income
$57,902 -9%
Great Falls: $63,934
Poverty rate
19.1% +37%
Great Falls: 14.0%
Renter share
32.0% -6%
Great Falls: 33.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.3–4.6

Why Central scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
19.1% below poverty line · Range 2.9–6.7 across tracts
4.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.4 across tracts
1.2
Risk score comparison

Central vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Central score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.9CentralNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Central

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
30013000900 4.6 3,700 39% $450
30013000300 3.3 3,843 34% $797
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 57%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 79%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Central

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Central

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Central?

Central scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Central compare to Great Falls overall?

Central scores 0.7 points higher than Great Falls overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $627 vs $900.
Q3

What is the average rent in Central?

Average gross rent in Central is $627/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Central residents are renters?

32% of Central households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Great Falls). The neighborhood has 7,543 residents.
Q5

Is Central a high social-vulnerability area?

Central sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Central have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Central is census tract 30013000900 (score 4.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 4.6, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Central for landlords?

Central carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Great Falls as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Central?

Central has 7,098 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.1%), Hispanic / Latino (9.3%), Other / Multiracial (9.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Great Falls

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central.

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