Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Central Eviction Risk: Lower , Great Falls

Tract 30013000300 · Cascade County, MT · pop 3,843 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The Lower-tier score of 3.4/10 for census tract 30013000300 reflects conditions in the Central area of Great Falls, Montana. It lands near the 4th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $797 a month against an average household income of $62,317 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 18% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,472
Renter share26.8%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$62,317

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Central
Very Low
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 19 tracts In Great Falls
Low
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 25 tracts In Cascade County
Moderate
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#121 of 319 tracts In Montana
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Great Falls and the region

Centroid at 47.5123, -111.2737 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Great Falls
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$797 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Great Falls
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Great Falls
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Great Falls
2.0

How Central compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 000300Great Falls: 2.12.1Great Fallsparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central

What moves this score most is economic stress at 2.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cascade County average of 3.8 and below the Montana statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 30013000300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30013000300?

Census tract 30013000300 in the Central neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 30013000300?

Median gross rent is $797/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 30013000300?

11.8% of residents in tract 30013000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,843.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 30013000300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 35th, minority 43th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 30013000300 considered part of Central?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30013000300 fall within Central (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 30013000300 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 30013000300 compare to Great Falls overall?

Tract 30013000300 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Great Falls at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Great Falls

Top eight tracts in Great Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related