Neighborhood · Great Falls, MT

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 8,475 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 4.4–5.8

Downtown is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Great Falls with 4 census tracts and a population of 8,475 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $748/month sits 17% lower than the Great Falls citywide average ($900).

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

4 tracts · population-weighted

Downtown vs Great Falls How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

50.9% +80%

Great Falls: 28.2%

Average gross rent

$748 -17%

Great Falls: $900

Average HH income

$39,380 -38%

Great Falls: $63,934

Poverty rate

29.1% +108%

Great Falls: 14.0%

Renter share

64.7% +91%

Great Falls: 33.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4.4–5.8

Why Downtown scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Rent control risk

51% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

65% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Economic stress

29.1% below poverty line · Range 4.0–10.0 across tracts

7.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.7 across tracts

1.2

Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.4 points from 4.4 to 5.8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.8 5.5 4.5 4.4

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
30013010800	5.8	2,673	62%	$701
30013000700	5.5	2,230	45%	$751
30013000400	4.5	2,121	50%	$833
30013000800	4.4	1,451	42%	$707

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 40%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 44%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 95%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

15.4%Housing insecurity
12.3%Utility shutoff threat
22.7%Food insecurity
19.2%SNAP enrollment
13.2%No health insurance
41.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Downtown

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Downtown compare to Great Falls overall?

Downtown scores 3.1 points higher than Great Falls overall (2.1/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $748 vs $900.

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $748/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

65% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Great Falls). The neighborhood has 8,475 residents.

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Downtown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown is census tract 30013010800 (score 5.8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.4 to 5.8, a spread of 1.4 points.

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Great Falls as a whole (2.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 8,690 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73%), Other / Multiracial (17.7%), Hispanic / Latino (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

4.6 Central 2 tracts · pop 7,543 4.1 Westside 2 tracts · pop 8,067 3.7 Eastside 4 tracts · pop 13,747 3.5 Malmstrom Air Force Base 2 tracts · pop 4,318

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Great Falls

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

4.5 Central 2 tracts · pop 7,543 4.2 Sunnyside 1 tracts · pop 3,882 4.1 Westside 2 tracts · pop 8,067 3.7 Eastside 4 tracts · pop 13,747 3.4 Wadsworth Park 1 tracts · pop 2,094 2.9 Northside 1 tracts · pop 6,329

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