4 census tracts · pop 8,475 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10
· range 4–4.6
Downtown spans 4 census tracts of Great Falls, MT, population 8,475. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.4/10, Moderate tier. Against a Great Falls baseline of 28.2%, roughly one in two of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.2/10.
The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10.
At $748 a month, rents sit 17% under what the rest of Great Falls commands. Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Great Falls, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Central and Sunnyside score within a fraction of it.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 4 tracts score within 0.6 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $39,380.
With little internal variation, 4.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs Great FallsHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority44%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport95%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
15.4%Housing insecurity
12.3%Utility shutoff threat
22.7%Food insecurity
19.2%SNAP enrollment
13.2%No health insurance
41.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Downtown
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?
Downtown scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Downtown compare to Great Falls overall?
Downtown scores 1.2 points higher than Great Falls overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $748 vs $900.
Q3
What is the average rent in Downtown?
Average gross rent in Downtown is $748/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?
65% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Great Falls). The neighborhood has 8,475 residents.
Q5
Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?
Downtown sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Downtown have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown is census tract 30013010800 (score 4.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 4.6, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7
How safe is Downtown for landlords?
Downtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Great Falls as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?
Downtown has 8,690 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73%), Other / Multiracial (17.7%), Hispanic / Latino (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
