Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Central Eviction Risk: Moderate , Great Falls

Tract 30013000900 · Cascade County, MT · pop 3,700 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

The Central neighborhood of Great Falls anchors census tract 30013000900, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 12% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $450 monthly, set against $53,316 in average yearly household income, roughly 10% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 23% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units1,362

Renter share37.4%

SVI overall0.73

Poverty rate26.7%

Median income$53,316

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Great Falls and the region

Centroid at 47.4997, -111.2730 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Great Falls

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Montana legislature & governorship

1.7

Economic stress

26.7% poverty · this tract

6.7

Supply constraint

$450 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Great Falls

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Great Falls

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Great Falls

2.0

How Central compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

68%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
38%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.7%Housing insecurity
10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
19.9%Food insecurity
16.1%SNAP enrollment
11.6%Transit barriers
11.8%No health insurance
22.4%Frequent mental distress
39.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cascade County average of 3.8 and in line with the Montana statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 30013000900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30013000900?

Census tract 30013000900 in the Central neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 30013000900?

Median gross rent is $450/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 30013000900?

26.7% of residents in tract 30013000900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,700.

How socially vulnerable is tract 30013000900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 80th, minority 38th, housing 69th.

Is tract 30013000900 considered part of Central?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30013000900 fall within Central (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 30013000900 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 30013000900 compare to Great Falls overall?

Tract 30013000900 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Great Falls at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Great Falls

Top eight tracts in Great Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.