Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally
Bozeman Gateway Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 30031000703 · Gallatin County, MT · pop 1,910 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 30031000703, home to 1,910 residents in the Bozeman Gateway area of Bozeman, scores 4.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 35th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,348 monthly, set against $67,143 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units894
Renter share59.5%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate22.7%
Median income$67,143
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bozeman and the region
Centroid at 45.6743, -111.0788 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bozeman Gateway scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bozeman
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
22.7% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,348 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bozeman
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bozeman
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bozeman
4.5
How Bozeman Gateway compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.4%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 20.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bozeman Gateway
What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bozeman eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Gallatin County average of 4.7 and above the Montana statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 30031000703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031000703?
Census tract 30031000703 in the Bozeman Gateway neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 30031000703?
Median gross rent is $1,348/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 30031000703?
22.7% of residents in tract 30031000703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,910.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 30031000703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 7th, minority 19th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 30031000703 considered part of Bozeman Gateway?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30031000703 fall within Bozeman Gateway (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 30031000703 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 30031000703 compare to Bozeman overall?
Tract 30031000703 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Bozeman at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bozeman eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bozeman
Top eight tracts in Bozeman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MT
Montana State University
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MT
Gran Cielo
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MT
North Tracy Avenue
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Apollo
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
South Black
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Cattail Creek
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Hillcrest
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Pleasant Valley
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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