Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Bozeman Gateway Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 30031000703 ·
Gallatin County, MT · pop 1,910 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.9/10, tract 30031000703 in the Bozeman Gateway area of Bozeman, MT reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.5/10.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%Stable renters 38%Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units894
Renter share59.5%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate22.7%
Median income$67,143
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Bozeman Gateway
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 14 tracts In Bozeman
Very High
Within county
100th percentile
#1 of 26 tracts In Gallatin County
Very High
Within state
100th percentile
#2 of 319 tracts In Montana
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bozeman and the region
Centroid at 45.6743, -111.0788 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bozeman Gateway scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bozeman
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
22.7% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,348 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bozeman
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bozeman
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bozeman
4.5
How Bozeman Gateway compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
41%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
19%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.7%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
12.4%Food insecurity
8.8%SNAP enrollment
9.2%Transit barriers
10.5%No health insurance
20.1%Frequent mental distress
26.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bozeman Gateway
The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.7/10. Against the Gallatin County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.
At $1,348 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Bozeman commands. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Gallatin County average of 43.5%.
The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10. Nationally it ranks #19,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 4.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MT average is 3.8, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $67,143. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 30031000703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031000703?
Census tract 30031000703 in the Bozeman Gateway neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 30031000703?
Median gross rent is $1,348/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 30031000703?
22.7% of residents in tract 30031000703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,910.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 30031000703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 7th, minority 19th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 30031000703 considered part of Bozeman Gateway?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30031000703 fall within Bozeman Gateway (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 30031000703 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 30031000703 compare to Bozeman overall?
Tract 30031000703 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Bozeman at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bozeman eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bozeman
Top eight tracts in Bozeman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.