Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Hillcrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bozeman
Tract 30031001002 · Gallatin County, MT · pop 5,050 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 30031001002 runs through Hillcrest in Bozeman. With 5,050 residents, it scores 4.7/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 28% of US census tracts.
About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,551 a month while the average household earns $77,623 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 46% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,302
Renter share46.4%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$77,623
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bozeman and the region
Centroid at 45.6674, -111.0062 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hillcrest scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bozeman
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,551 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bozeman
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bozeman
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bozeman
4.5
How Hillcrest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.2%Peak (2001)
- 1Filings in 2001 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 4.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 24.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hillcrest
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bozeman eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Gallatin County average of 4.7 and above the Montana statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 0.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 0.2% of renter households in 2001.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 30031001002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031001002?
Census tract 30031001002 in the Hillcrest neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 30031001002?
Median gross rent is $1,551/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 30031001002?
9.8% of residents in tract 30031001002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,050.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 30031001002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 18th, minority 20th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 30031001002 considered part of Hillcrest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30031001002 fall within Hillcrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 30031001002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 30031001002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.19% of renter households, peaking at 0.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 30031001002 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 30031001002 compare to Bozeman overall?
Tract 30031001002 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Bozeman at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bozeman eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bozeman
Top eight tracts in Bozeman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MT
Montana State University
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MT
Gran Cielo
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MT
North Tracy Avenue
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Bozeman Gateway
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Apollo
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
South Black
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Cattail Creek
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Pleasant Valley
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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