Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
South Black Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bozeman
Tract 30031000800 · Gallatin County, MT · pop 2,366 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 30031000800 in the South Black area of Bozeman, MT reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,366. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,353
Renter share53.5%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$81,122
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bozeman and the region
Centroid at 45.6755, -111.0399 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Black scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bozeman
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,322 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bozeman
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bozeman
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bozeman
4.5
How South Black compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4Total filings over 2 yrs
- 0.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.4%Peak (2000)
- 1Filings in 2002 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.2%Food insecurity
- 5.6%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 22.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Black
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.3/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.7/10.
Cost burden runs 52% here against 43.5% across Gallatin County. Average gross rent is $1,322, 23% below the Bozeman average.
It sits 1.2 points above the Gallatin County average of 4.2. Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 4 evictions over 2 years of observation. On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10.
Housing insecurity runs 6.9% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2000 at 0.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 0.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.1/10.
Statewide the MT average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 30031000800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031000800?
Census tract 30031000800 in the South Black neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 30031000800?
Median gross rent is $1,322/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 30031000800?
17.2% of residents in tract 30031000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,366.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 30031000800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 2th, minority 11th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 30031000800 considered part of South Black?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30031000800 fall within South Black (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 30031000800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 30031000800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.24% of renter households, peaking at 0.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 30031000800 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 30031000800 compare to Bozeman overall?
Tract 30031000800 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Bozeman at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bozeman eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bozeman
Top eight tracts in Bozeman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MT
North Tracy Avenue
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MT
Bozeman Gateway
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MT
Apollo
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MT
Montana State University
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MT
Gran Cielo
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MT
Cattail Creek
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Hillcrest
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Pleasant Valley
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
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