Gran Cielo Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bozeman
Tract 30031001102 · Gallatin County, MT · pop 5,352 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 30031001102 sits in the Gran Cielo area of Bozeman eviction risk, MT, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. Population here is 5,352. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Bozeman and the region
Centroid at 45.6503, -111.0798 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gran Cielo scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Gran Cielo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 2 yrs
- 0.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.6%Peak (2000)
- 3Filings in 2001 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.0%Food insecurity
- 11.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.5%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 22.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Gran Cielo
Against Gallatin County at 43.5%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is economic stress at 9/10.
The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $66,688, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.7/10. It sits 1.7 points above the Gallatin County average of 4.2. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 filings here across 2 tracked years.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7/10. The worst year on record was 2000, when 0.6% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 0.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MT average is 3.8, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 30031001102
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031001102?
What is the average rent in tract 30031001102?
What is the poverty rate in tract 30031001102?
How socially vulnerable is tract 30031001102?
Is tract 30031001102 considered part of Gran Cielo?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 30031001102?
What share of households in tract 30031001102 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 30031001102 compare to Bozeman overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Bozeman
Top eight tracts in Bozeman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.