Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Cattail Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bozeman

Tract 30031000507 · Gallatin County, MT · pop 3,904 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 30031000507 covers part of the Cattail Creek area of Bozeman, MT, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,904 residents. roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Gallatin County average of 43.5%.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 24% Owners 33%

Tract context

Occupied units2,094

Renter share66.9%

SVI overall0.13

Poverty rate14.7%

Median income$79,082

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bozeman and the region

Centroid at 45.7107, -111.0752 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cattail Creek scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bozeman

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Montana legislature & governorship

1.7

Economic stress

14.7% poverty · this tract

3.7

Supply constraint

$2,008 rent vs county FMR

4.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bozeman

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bozeman

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bozeman

4.5

How Cattail Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

36%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
22%Racial/ethnic minority
46%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.3%Housing insecurity
6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
11.3%Food insecurity
7.7%SNAP enrollment
8.3%Transit barriers
10.1%No health insurance
19.7%Frequent mental distress
25.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cattail Creek

The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.7/10. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Average gross rent is $2,008, 17% above the Bozeman average. It sits 1.0 points above the Gallatin County average of 4.2.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10. SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Bozeman eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.2/10. Statewide the MT average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 30031000507

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031000507?

Census tract 30031000507 in the Cattail Creek neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 30031000507?

Median gross rent is $2,008/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 30031000507?

14.7% of residents in tract 30031000507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,904.

How socially vulnerable is tract 30031000507?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 1th, minority 22th, housing 46th.

Is tract 30031000507 considered part of Cattail Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30031000507 fall within Cattail Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 30031000507 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 30031000507 compare to Bozeman overall?

Tract 30031000507 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Bozeman at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bozeman eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bozeman

Top eight tracts in Bozeman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.