Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Kelwyn Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dover
Tract 33017081500 · Strafford County, NH · pop 6,037 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
33017081500 is a census tract in the Kelwyn Park area of Dover, NH. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,037. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units2,843
Renter share72.0%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$77,022
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dover and the region
Centroid at 43.2107, -70.8824 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kelwyn Park scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dover
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Hampshire legislature & governorship
2.5
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,701 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
5.4
How Kelwyn Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.4%Food insecurity
- 6.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 22.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kelwyn Park
The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10. Cost burden runs 51% here against 44.5% across Strafford County. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.5/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.4% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Strafford County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.
That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,701, close to the Dover average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $77,022.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 33017081500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33017081500?
Census tract 33017081500 in the Kelwyn Park neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 33017081500?
Median gross rent is $1,701/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 33017081500?
9.3% of residents in tract 33017081500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,037.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 33017081500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 13th, minority 35th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 33017081500 considered part of Kelwyn Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33017081500 fall within Kelwyn Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 33017081500 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 33017081500 compare to Dover overall?
Tract 33017081500 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Dover at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dover
Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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