Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Sawyers Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dover
Tract 33017081300 · Strafford County, NH · pop 5,329 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
33017081300 is a census tract in the Sawyers area of Dover, NH. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,329 residents. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units2,800
Renter share69.1%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$78,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dover and the region
Centroid at 43.1898, -70.8733 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sawyers scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dover
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Hampshire legislature & governorship
2.5
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,657 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
5.4
How Sawyers compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sawyers. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sawyers
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.5/10.
Against the Strafford County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.7/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally. Against Strafford County at 44.5%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened.
That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 33017081300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33017081300?
Census tract 33017081300 in the Sawyers neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 33017081300?
Median gross rent is $1,657/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 33017081300?
11.0% of residents in tract 33017081300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,329.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 33017081300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 13th, minority 14th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 33017081300 considered part of Sawyers?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33017081300 fall within Sawyers (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 33017081300 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 33017081300 compare to Dover overall?
Tract 33017081300 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Dover at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dover
Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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