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Dover, New Hampshire eviction risk overview
Ranked #851 of 1,865 nationally

Dover, NH Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Strafford County · Population 33,364

In 2026
Risk score
4.2
MODERATE

88th percentile, New Hampshire.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.3 Average3.3 Now4.2
5.4 2.3 1976 · score 2.6 1977 · score 2.6 1978 · score 2.5 1979 · score 2.5 1980 · score 2.6 1981 · score 2.5 1982 · score 2.6 1983 · score 2.5 1984 · score 2.4 1985 · score 2.4 1986 · score 2.3 1987 · score 2.3 1988 · score 2.3 1989 · score 2.4 1990 · score 2.5 1991 · score 2.6 1992 · score 3.0 1993 · score 3.0 1994 · score 2.9 1995 · score 2.9 1996 · score 3.2 1997 · score 3.2 1998 · score 3.2 1999 · score 3.3 2000 · score 3.2 2001 · score 3.3 2002 · score 3.3 2003 · score 3.2 2004 · score 3.2 2005 · score 3.2 2006 · score 3.2 2007 · score 3.3 2008 · score 3.7 2009 · score 3.9 2010 · score 3.9 2011 · score 3.9 2012 · score 3.9 2013 · score 3.8 2014 · score 3.8 2015 · score 3.8 2016 · score 3.7 2017 · score 3.7 2018 · score 3.7 2019 · score 3.7 2020 · score 5.2 2021 · score 5.4 2022 · score 4.5 2023 · score 4.2 2024 · score 4.2 2025 · score 4.2 2026 · score 4.2

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.2 Regional 6.2 State 3.6 Economic 5.2 Supply 8.7 Rent Control 6.3 Eviction 3.8 Tenant 9.0 Housing 5.4 4.2 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +12.1% (2024)
    6.2
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.2
  3. State political climate
    New Hampshire legislature & governorship
    3.6
  4. Economic stress
    8.1% poverty · 4.3% unemp.
    5.2
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,607 average · 47.3% renters
    8.7
  6. Rent Control risk
    29.5% of income on rent
    6.3
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    65 days filing → judgment
    3.8
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    47.3% renters
    9.0
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.4
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dover and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Dover compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Strafford County
High
#2 of 8 cities
Rank in county, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 cities in Strafford County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New Hampshire
High
#13 of 100 cities
Rank in state, 88th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 100 cities in New Hampshire for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Dover risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Dover: 4.24.2DoverThis cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 4.2
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 4.2/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+1.6 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 65d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,607/mo. A contested eviction takes 65 days and costs $2,528–$5,344 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 47.3%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 33,364 residents, 47.3% rent. 30% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 8.1% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6.2
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6.2 and 6.2 (Dem margin +12.1% (2024)). State climate at 3.6, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 3.6
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 3.6/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 3.8, housing court bias 5.4, rent-control risk 6.3. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-1.2 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.2
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.2. Supply constraint: 8.7. The numbers behind those: 8.1% poverty, 4.3% unemployment, 30% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Dover sits in the slow but cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Manchester, NH · 57d · ~$4.6k all-in ($81/day) · score 3.7 Manchester Nashua, NH · 62d · ~$4.7k all-in ($76/day) · score 3.8 Nashua Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Worcester, MA · 184d · ~$19.8k all-in ($108/day) · score 6.4 Worcester Providence, RI · 108d · ~$8.9k all-in ($83/day) · score 6 Providence Springfield, MA · 191d · ~$20.6k all-in ($108/day) · score 6.7 Springfield Hartford, CT · 133d · ~$11.1k all-in ($84/day) · score 7.6 Hartford Cambridge, MA · 212d · ~$19.8k all-in ($93/day) · score 7.1 Cambridge Lowell, MA · 198d · ~$19.9k all-in ($101/day) · score 6.1 Lowell Brockton, MA · 207d · ~$19.7k all-in ($95/day) · score 6.2 Brockton Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Dover
Dover · 65d · ~$3.9k all-in ($61/day) · score 4.2 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Dover, NH

Landlording in Dover, New Hampshire, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.2/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Dover is a city of 33,364 residents where 47.3% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 29.5% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,607/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Dover eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 3.8/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Dover closes 65 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Dover's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.4/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Dover runs $2,528 to $5,344 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 65 days of typical timeline and $1,607/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 9/10 in Dover, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (6.3/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New Hampshire, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Dover: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New Hampshire's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $5,344 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Dover

Trap · 8.1%
Local poverty rate is 8.1%, and the rent-burden distribution skews the eviction-filings curve toward moderate volume in Strafford County. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 6.3/10. Tenant organizing is most active in the rental concentration corridors.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Dover for not having a written lease?

Yes, you can. If there's no written lease, the tenancy is considered month-to-month. You'd typically need to provide a 30-day notice to terminate the tenancy without cause, as long as it's not retaliatory or discriminatory.
Q2

What if my tenant claims their income source is protected?

In New Hampshire, source of income is a protected class. This means you cannot refuse to rent to someone solely because they use a housing voucher, disability payments, or other legal forms of income. You must evaluate them based on the same criteria as any other applicant, like credit score, rental history, and overall income-to-rent ratio.
Q3

How long do I have to fix something after a tenant complains in Dover?

New Hampshire law requires landlords to maintain safe and habitable premises. While there's no single statewide "fix-it-in-X-days" rule for every repair, courts generally expect landlords to address serious issues (like no heat, burst pipes) immediately, usually within 24-72 hours. For less urgent repairs, a "reasonable" time frame is expected, often 7-14 days. Ignoring legitimate repair requests can give the tenant grounds to withhold rent or break the lease.
Q4

Can I charge late fees in Dover?

Yes, you can charge late fees in New Hampshire, but they must be reasonable and clearly stated in your lease agreement. There's no specific state cap on the amount, but excessive fees could be challenged in court. Typically, 5% of the monthly rent or a flat fee of $25-$50 is considered reasonable.
Q5

What's the difference between a "pay-or-quit" and a "cure-or-quit" notice?

A "pay-or-quit" notice is specifically for non-payment of rent, giving the tenant a set number of days (7 in NH) to pay the overdue rent or move out. A "cure-or-quit" notice is for other lease violations (like having unauthorized pets or excessive noise) and gives the tenant time to "cure" or fix the violation, or move out. If the violation is not curable (e.g., significant property damage), it might just be a notice to quit.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 4.2/10 places Dover in the 88th percentile of New Hampshire cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.