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McGuire AFB, New Jersey eviction risk overview
City brief · 4,400 residents

McGuire AFB, NJ Eviction Risk: HIGH

Burlington County · Population 4,400

In 2026
Risk score
7
HIGH

39th percentile, New Jersey.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min3.4 Average5.4 Now7
7.8 3.4 1976 · score 4.1 1977 · score 4.0 1978 · score 4.0 1979 · score 4.0 1980 · score 4.0 1981 · score 3.9 1982 · score 4.0 1983 · score 3.9 1984 · score 3.7 1985 · score 3.6 1986 · score 3.5 1987 · score 3.4 1988 · score 3.6 1989 · score 3.6 1990 · score 3.7 1991 · score 3.9 1992 · score 4.6 1993 · score 4.6 1994 · score 4.6 1995 · score 4.6 1996 · score 5.3 1997 · score 5.3 1998 · score 5.4 1999 · score 5.5 2000 · score 5.4 2001 · score 5.4 2002 · score 5.8 2003 · score 5.8 2004 · score 5.7 2005 · score 5.6 2006 · score 5.6 2007 · score 5.6 2008 · score 6.0 2009 · score 6.3 2010 · score 6.4 2011 · score 6.4 2012 · score 6.5 2013 · score 6.4 2014 · score 6.4 2015 · score 6.4 2016 · score 6.4 2017 · score 6.4 2018 · score 6.5 2019 · score 6.6 2020 · score 7.8 2021 · score 7.5 2022 · score 7.2 2023 · score 7.2 2024 · score 7.3 2025 · score 7.1 2026 · score 7.0

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.4 Regional 6.4 State 6.8 Economic 4.6 Supply 9.8 Rent Control 8.7 Eviction 6.4 Tenant 9.9 Housing 5.5 7 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +16.6% (2024)
    6.4
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.4
  3. State political climate
    New Jersey legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    2.9% poverty · 5.2% unemp.
    4.6
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,541 average · 97.6% renters
    9.8
  6. Rent Control risk
    40.0% of income on rent
    8.7
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    166 days filing → judgment
    6.4
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    97.6% renters
    9.9
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.5
Geographic context

Risk heat across McGuire AFB and the region

Click any city to see its score

How McGuire AFB compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Burlington County
Very Low
#23 of 27 cities
Rank in county, 15th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 27 cities in Burlington County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New Jersey
Low
#450 of 696 cities
Rank in state, 35th percentileLowHigh
#450 of 696 cities in New Jersey for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
McGuire AFB risk score vs. county / state / U.S.McGuire AFB: 7.07.0McGuire AFBThis cityCounty: 7.37.3Countyavg in countyState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 7
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 7/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.9 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 166d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,541/mo. A contested eviction takes 166 days and costs $11,184–$25,168 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 97.6%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 4,400 residents, 97.6% rent. 40% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 2.9% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6.4
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6.4 and 6.4 (Dem margin +16.6% (2024)). State climate at 6.8, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.4, housing court bias 5.5, rent-control risk 8.7. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.4 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.6. Supply constraint: 9.8. The numbers behind those: 2.9% poverty, 5.2% unemployment, 40% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

McGuire AFB sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Elizabeth, NJ · 165d · ~$16.5k all-in ($100/day) · score 8.2 Elizabeth Toms River, NJ · 166d · ~$16.0k all-in ($96/day) · score 6.8 Toms River Trenton, NJ · 179d · ~$18.6k all-in ($104/day) · score 8.2 Trenton Camden, NJ · 185d · ~$17.8k all-in ($96/day) · score 8.3 Camden Lakewood, NJ · 164d · ~$18.1k all-in ($111/day) · score 7.5 Lakewood Vineland, NJ · 167d · ~$17.0k all-in ($102/day) · score 7.6 Vineland New Brunswick, NJ · 171d · ~$15.6k all-in ($91/day) · score 8 New Brunswick Perth Amboy, NJ · 187d · ~$17.2k all-in ($92/day) · score 8.3 Perth Amboy Plainfield, NJ · 195d · ~$16.5k all-in ($85/day) · score 8.2 Plainfield Newark, NJ · 165d · ~$16.3k all-in ($99/day) · score 9 Newark Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle McGuire AFB
McGuire AFB · 166d · ~$18.2k all-in ($109/day) · score 7 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in McGuire AFB, NJ

Landlording in McGuire AFB, New Jersey, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 7/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

McGuire AFB is a city of 4,400 residents where 97.6% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 40.0% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,541/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How McGuire AFB eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.4/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in McGuire AFB closes 166 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of McGuire AFB's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.5/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in McGuire AFB runs $11,184 to $25,168 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 166 days of typical timeline and $2,541/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 9.9/10 in McGuire AFB, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (8.7/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New Jersey, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in McGuire AFB: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New Jersey's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $25,168 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in McGuire AFB

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Compare McGuire AFB to neighboring cities in Burlington County via the grid below. The 7.5/10 score is computed from nine sub-factors plus a state-law multiplier under NJSA 2A:18-61.1 Anti-Eviction Act. Burlington County 2020 presidential margin: D+19.5. Cross-reference the state overview link in the guides section for New Jersey statutory detail.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the biggest risk for landlords in McGuire AFB?

The biggest risk is the combination of the high eviction costs and extremely long timelines, averaging 166 days. Coupled with New Jersey's strict just-cause eviction laws and strong tenant protections, landlords face significant hurdles and financial exposure if an eviction becomes necessary.
Q2

Can I raise the rent freely in McGuire AFB?

McGuire AFB itself does not have local rent control. However, New Jersey has strong New Jersey rent control rules at the state level that make it challenging to raise rents significantly in some cases, and local municipalities can implement their own ordinances. Always check for any specific local ordinances in Burlington County or nearby towns that might apply to your property type, but generally, McGuire AFB is not under rent control.
Q3

Do I need an attorney for every eviction?

While you can technically represent yourself in court, for evictions in New Jersey, it is highly recommended to hire an attorney. The state's landlord-tenant laws, particularly the Anti-Eviction Act (N.J.S.A. § 2A:18), are complex. Even minor procedural errors can lead to your case being dismissed, forcing you to start over and incurring more lost rent and legal fees.
Q4

What if my tenant damages the property?

You can deduct the cost of repairs for damages beyond normal wear and tear from the security deposit. However, you must provide an itemized list of damages and costs within 30 days of the tenant vacating. If the damages exceed the security deposit, you can sue the tenant in small claims court for the difference, but collecting on such a judgment can be difficult.
Q5

Can I deny a tenant because they use a housing voucher?

No. New Jersey has statewide source-of-income protection. This means you cannot refuse to rent to a tenant solely because they use a housing voucher (like Section 8) or other forms of lawful income assistance. You must treat all applicants equally based on your standard screening criteria.
Q6

What if my tenant just leaves without notice?

If a tenant abandons the property, you must follow specific legal procedures to regain possession and mitigate damages. Document everything, attempt to contact the tenant, and store any personal property left behind for a reasonable period (usually 30 days). Consult an attorney to ensure you legally repossess the unit and properly handle abandoned property to avoid potential liability.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 7/10 places McGuire AFB in the 39th percentile of New Jersey cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.