Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Newark Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34013004802 · Essex County, NJ · pop 4,220

34013004802 is a census tract in Newark, NJ. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,220. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 45% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units1,702
Renter share89.9%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate45.8%
Median income$12,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 88 tracts In Newark
High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 211 tracts In Essex County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newark and the region

Centroid at 40.6998, -74.2008 · click any tract to drill in

Why Newark scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newark
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
45.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$346 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
8.0

How Newark compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Newark risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0048028.5Newarkparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,128Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 36.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 62.7%Peak (2018)
  • 857Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34013004802
Filings climbed 198% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Newark

Average gross rent is $346, 75% below the Newark average. The poverty rate is 46%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against the Essex County average of 7.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10.

90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 29.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $12,500 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Adults with no health insurance runs 27.5% against 11.3% nationally. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Court records carry 3,128 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Filings peaked in 2018 at 62.7% of renter households.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013004802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013004802?

Census tract 34013004802 in Newark scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013004802?

Median gross rent is $346/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013004802?

45.8% of residents in tract 34013004802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,220.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013004802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 94th, minority 95th, housing 97th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013004802?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 3,128 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013004802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 36.97% of renter households, peaking at 62.7% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34013004802 struggle to pay rent?

About 40.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34013004802 compare to Newark overall?

Tract 34013004802 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Newark at 8.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34013004802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newark

Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related