Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally
Newark Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34013004900 · Essex County, NJ · pop 4,160
Census tract 34013004900 covers part of Newark, NJ, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,160. The severe-burden share is 58%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,684
Renter share59.6%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate40.4%
Median income$38,100
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
National
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newark and the region
Centroid at 40.7093, -74.2071 · click any tract to drill in
Why Newark scores 9.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newark
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
40.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,259 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
8.0
How Newark compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 97%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,861Total filings over 6 yrs
- 32.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 39.4%Peak (2015)
- 312Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 35.4%Housing insecurity
- 26.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 44.8%Food insecurity
- 42.6%SNAP enrollment
- 22.9%Transit barriers
- 17.5%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 37.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Newark
Cost burden runs 68% here against 50.3% across Essex County. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Food insecurity runs 44.8% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 2.6 points above the Essex County average of 7.3. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10.
The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 35.4% against 14.2% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $38,100 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,861 evictions over 6 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,259, 10% below the Newark average.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 39.4% of renter households.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34013004900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013004900?
Census tract 34013004900 in Newark scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34013004900?
Median gross rent is $1,259/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34013004900?
40.4% of residents in tract 34013004900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,160.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34013004900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 88th, minority 98th, housing 85th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013004900?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,861 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013004900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 32.65% of renter households, peaking at 39.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34013004900 struggle to pay rent?
About 35.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34013004900 compare to Newark overall?
Tract 34013004900 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Newark at 8.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34013004900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newark
Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
University Heights
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Teachers Village
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
University Heights
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Teachers Village
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Teachers Village
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Teachers Village
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
University Heights
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Teachers Village
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
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