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Census Tract · Ranked #162 of 84,120 nationally

East Orange Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34013011100 · Essex County, NJ · pop 3,665

How risky is East Orange for landlords? Census tract 34013011100 scores $1/10, the High tier. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $961 monthly, set against $25,886 in average yearly household income, roughly 45% of income at the averages. About 91% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 52% Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units2,079
Renter share91.3%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate40.8%
Median income$25,886

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 19 tracts In East Orange
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 211 tracts In Essex County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#162 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Orange and the region

Centroid at 40.7569, -74.2117 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Orange scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Orange
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
40.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$961 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Orange
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Orange
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Orange
7.1

How East Orange compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Orange risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.39.3This tracttract 011100East Orange: 8.38.3East Orangeparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,591Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 43.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 43.9%Peak (2014)
  • 686Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340130111002013: 780 filings (42.23/100 renter HHs)2014: 810 filings (43.85/100 renter HHs)2015: 792 filings (42.88/100 renter HHs)2016: 800 filings (47.20/100 renter HHs)2017: 723 filings (42.65/100 renter HHs)2018: 686 filings (40.47/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Orange

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Orange eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 7.3 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: East Orange eviction risk sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013011100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013011100?

Census tract 34013011100 in East Orange scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013011100?

Median gross rent is $961/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013011100?

40.8% of residents in tract 34013011100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,665.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013011100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 87th, minority 99th, housing 89th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013011100?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 4,591 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013011100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 43.21% of renter households, peaking at 43.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34013011100 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34013011100 compare to East Orange overall?

Tract 34013011100 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of East Orange at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Orange eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34013011100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Orange

Top eight tracts in East Orange ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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