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Census Tract · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally

East Orange Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34013011700 · Essex County, NJ · pop 3,183

Tract 34013011700 sits in East Orange eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.8/10. It is home to 3,183 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 34% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,532
Renter share72.7%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate24.5%
Median income$58,616

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 19 tracts In East Orange
Very High
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#79 of 211 tracts In Essex County
Elevated
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#210 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#4,622 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Orange and the region

Centroid at 40.7517, -74.2187 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Orange scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Orange
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
24.5% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,351 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Orange
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Orange
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Orange
7.1

How East Orange compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Orange risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.8This tracttract 0117007.4East Orangeparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,879Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 33.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 42.8%Peak (2015)
  • 245Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34013011700
Filings dropped 24% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Orange

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. Food insecurity runs 32.1% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Essex County average of 7.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation runs 26.3% against 15.2% nationally.

Severe burden reaches 10%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 1,879 filings here across 6 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 42.8% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013011700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013011700?

Census tract 34013011700 in East Orange scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013011700?

Median gross rent is $1,351/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013011700?

24.5% of residents in tract 34013011700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,183.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013011700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 57th, minority 99th, housing 90th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013011700?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,879 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013011700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 33.04% of renter households, peaking at 42.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34013011700 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34013011700 compare to East Orange overall?

Tract 34013011700 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of East Orange at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Orange eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34013011700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 25% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Orange

Top eight tracts in East Orange ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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