Within parent city
72
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #1,455 of 84,120 nationally
East Orange Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34013011700 · Essex County, NJ · pop 3,183
For landlords sizing up East Orange, census tract 34013011700 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.8/10. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.
53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,351 monthly, set against $58,616 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 73% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,532
Renter share72.7%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate24.5%
Median income$58,616
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
National
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Orange and the region
Centroid at 40.7517, -74.2187 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Orange scores 8.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Orange
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
24.5% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,351 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Orange
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Orange
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Orange
7.1
How East Orange compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 75%Grade C
- 25%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,879Total filings over 6 yrs
- 33.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 42.8%Peak (2015)
- 245Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.4%Housing insecurity
- 18.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.1%Food insecurity
- 26.3%SNAP enrollment
- 16.3%Transit barriers
- 14.2%No health insurance
- 19.0%Frequent mental distress
- 31.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Orange
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Orange eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 7.3 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 1,879 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 33.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 42.8% of renter households in 2015.
Part of this tract, about 25% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34013011700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013011700?
Census tract 34013011700 in East Orange scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34013011700?
Median gross rent is $1,351/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34013011700?
24.5% of residents in tract 34013011700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,183.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34013011700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 57th, minority 99th, housing 90th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013011700?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,879 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013011700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 33.04% of renter households, peaking at 42.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34013011700 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34013011700 compare to East Orange overall?
Tract 34013011700 scores 8.3/10, right in line with the parent city of East Orange at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Orange eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34013011700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 25% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Orange
Top eight tracts in East Orange ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
34013011100
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34013010400
8.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
University Heights
8.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34013010600
8.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
University Heights
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34013010700
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34013011200
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34013010200
7.7
/ 10 · High
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