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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally

McGinley Square Eviction Risk: High , Jersey City

Tract 34017006800 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 3,856 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 34017006800 sits in the McGinley Square area of Jersey City eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.3/10. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 28% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,521
Renter share65.3%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate12.1%
Median income$65,221

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 22 tracts In McGinley Square
Low
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#31 of 77 tracts In Jersey City
Elevated
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#54 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#338 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jersey City and the region

Centroid at 40.7108, -74.0793 · click any tract to drill in

Why McGinley Square scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.1% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,663 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey City
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey City
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0

How McGinley Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McGinley Square risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.3This tracttract 0068008.0Jersey Cityparent city7.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,054Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 30.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 40.9%Peak (2014)
  • 215Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34017006800
Filings dropped 35% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Hudson County average of 46.5%. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.

This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10. Average gross rent is $1,663, 17% below the Jersey City average.

Food insecurity runs 27.1% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 23.2% against 14.2% nationally. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 1,054 filings here across 4 tracked years.

It sits 0.6 points above the Hudson County average of 7.7. Filings peaked in 2014 at 40.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Hudson Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 30.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017006800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017006800?

Census tract 34017006800 in the McGinley Square neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017006800?

Median gross rent is $1,663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017006800?

12.1% of residents in tract 34017006800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,856.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017006800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 57th, minority 94th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 34017006800 considered part of McGinley Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017006800 fall within McGinley Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017006800?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,054 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017006800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.77% of renter households, peaking at 40.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017006800 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017006800 compare to Jersey City overall?

Tract 34017006800 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Jersey City at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017006800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 93% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City

Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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