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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,396 of 84,120 nationally

McGinley Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Jersey City

Tract 34017004600 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 2,919 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 34017004600 (the McGinley Square neighborhood of Jersey City, New Jersey) comes in at 7.3/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #2,258 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,472 a month while the average household earns $70,873 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 34% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units978
Renter share66.3%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$70,873

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 22 tracts In McGinley Square
Low
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 77 tracts In Jersey City
Elevated
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#367 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jersey City and the region

Centroid at 40.7102, -74.0676 · click any tract to drill in

Why McGinley Square scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,472 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey City
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey City
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0

How McGinley Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McGinley Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.17.1This tracttract 004600Jersey City: 8.38.3Jersey Cityparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 286Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 11.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.3%Peak (2014)
  • 68Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340170046002014: 81 filings (16.30/100 renter HHs)2016: 69 filings (10.45/100 renter HHs)2017: 68 filings (10.30/100 renter HHs)2018: 68 filings (10.30/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hudson County average of 7.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017004600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017004600?

Census tract 34017004600 in the McGinley Square neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017004600?

Median gross rent is $1,472/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017004600?

12.5% of residents in tract 34017004600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,919.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017004600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 83th, minority 89th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 34017004600 considered part of McGinley Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017004600 fall within McGinley Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017004600?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 286 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017004600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.84% of renter households, peaking at 16.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017004600 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017004600 compare to Jersey City overall?

Tract 34017004600 scores 7.1/10, lower than the parent city of Jersey City at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017004600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 73% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City

Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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