Within neighborhood
24
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally
McGinley Square Eviction Risk: High , Jersey City
Tract 34017004600 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 2,919 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 34017004600 covers part of the McGinley Square area of Jersey City, NJ, and scores 8.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.4/10.
Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units978
Renter share66.3%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$70,873
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jersey City and the region
Centroid at 40.7102, -74.0676 · click any tract to drill in
Why McGinley Square scores 8.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,472 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey City
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey City
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
How McGinley Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 73%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 286Total filings over 4 yrs
- 11.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.3%Peak (2014)
- 68Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.8%Housing insecurity
- 11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.8%Food insecurity
- 15.2%SNAP enrollment
- 11.8%Transit barriers
- 19.2%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
At $1,472 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Jersey City commands. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 286 filings here across 4 tracked years.
Adults with no health insurance runs 19.2% against 11.3% nationally. Food insecurity runs 24.8% against 17.8% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 16.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 11.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017004600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017004600?
Census tract 34017004600 in the McGinley Square neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017004600?
Median gross rent is $1,472/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017004600?
12.5% of residents in tract 34017004600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,919.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017004600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 83th, minority 89th, housing 45th.
Q5
Is tract 34017004600 considered part of McGinley Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017004600 fall within McGinley Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017004600?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 286 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017004600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.84% of renter households, peaking at 16.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017004600 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017004600 compare to Jersey City overall?
Tract 34017004600 scores 8.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Jersey City at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017004600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 73% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City
Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34017005500
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Hilltop
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34017005801
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
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