Within neighborhood
14
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally
McGinley Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Jersey City
Tract 34017002900 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 3,682 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 34017002900 runs through McGinley Square in Jersey City. With 3,682 residents, it scores 7.1/10 for landlords. It lands near the 96th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,666 a month against an average household income of $92,736 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,561
Renter share58.9%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate15.7%
Median income$92,736
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jersey City and the region
Centroid at 40.7282, -74.0695 · click any tract to drill in
Why McGinley Square scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.7% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,666 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey City
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey City
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
How McGinley Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 31%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 325Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak (2014)
- 68Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.5%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 9.3%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 20.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hudson County average of 7.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 325 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 8.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.5% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017002900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017002900?
Census tract 34017002900 in the McGinley Square neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017002900?
Median gross rent is $1,666/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017002900?
15.7% of residents in tract 34017002900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,682.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017002900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 3th, minority 80th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 34017002900 considered part of McGinley Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017002900 fall within McGinley Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017002900?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 325 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017002900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.02% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017002900 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017002900 compare to Jersey City overall?
Tract 34017002900 scores 6.9/10, lower than the parent city of Jersey City at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017002900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City
Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34017005801
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34017005500
8.5
/ 10 · High
Related