Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

The Shades Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City

Tract 34017018402 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 3,242 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 34017018402 covers part of the The Shades area of Hoboken, NJ, and scores 6.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Hudson County at 46.5%, 23% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 59% Owners 24%

Tract context

Occupied units1,566

Renter share75.7%

SVI overall0.13

Poverty rate1.7%

Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 40.7548, -74.0319 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Shades scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Union City

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

New Jersey legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

1.7% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Union City

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Union City

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Union City

7.5

How The Shades compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

3%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
4%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Shades. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.3%Housing insecurity
3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
5.5%Food insecurity
2.5%SNAP enrollment
3.9%Transit barriers
5.2%No health insurance
14.0%Frequent mental distress
12.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Shades

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 52.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. SNAP participation runs 2.5% against 15.2% nationally.

At $3,501 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Hoboken commands. Against the Hudson County average of 7.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.

Housing insecurity runs 6.3% against 14.2% nationally. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Hudson Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.1/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017018402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017018402?

Census tract 34017018402 in the The Shades neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 34017018402?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017018402?

1.7% of residents in tract 34017018402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,242.

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017018402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 2th, minority 45th, housing 81th.

Is tract 34017018402 considered part of The Shades?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017018402 fall within The Shades (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 34017018402 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 34017018402 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 34017018402 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Union City at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 34017018402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.