Within neighborhood
27
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
The Shades Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City
Tract 34017017700 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 1,627 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 34017017700 sits in the The Shades area of Union City eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.2/10. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.3/10.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units811
Renter share70.8%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$71,012
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 40.7576, -74.0431 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Shades scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,440 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1
How The Shades compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 97%Grade C
- 3%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 234Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.7%Peak (2014)
- 56Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Shades. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.1%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.5%Food insecurity
- 13.6%SNAP enrollment
- 11.6%Transit barriers
- 23.8%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 29.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Shades
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 23.8% against 11.3% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.6/10. 51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Hudson County average of 46.5%.
The filing record is not thin: 234 evictions over 4 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 25.5% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2014, when 11.7% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Hudson Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017017700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017017700?
Census tract 34017017700 in the The Shades neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017017700?
Median gross rent is $1,440/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017017700?
14.2% of residents in tract 34017017700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,627.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017017700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 44th, minority 82th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 34017017700 considered part of The Shades?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017017700 fall within The Shades (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017017700?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 234 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017017700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.85% of renter households, peaking at 11.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017017700 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017017700 compare to Union City overall?
Tract 34017017700 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017017700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Union City
Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
7.9
/ 10 · High
Related