Within neighborhood
7
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
The Shades Eviction Risk: Moderate , Union City
Tract 34017018200 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 5,017 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
How risky is the The Shades area of Union City for landlords? Census tract 34017018200 scores 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 80th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,239 monthly, set against $174,313 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units2,009
Renter share56.2%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$174,313
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 40.7628, -74.0283 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Shades scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union City
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,239 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.0
How The Shades compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 63%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 108Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.7%Peak (2017)
- 23Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Shades. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.4%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 22.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Shades
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hudson County average of 7.0 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 108 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 2.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.7% of renter households in 2017.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017018200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017018200?
Census tract 34017018200 in the The Shades neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017018200?
Median gross rent is $2,239/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017018200?
7.1% of residents in tract 34017018200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,017.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017018200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 12th, minority 71th, housing 45th.
Q5
Is tract 34017018200 considered part of The Shades?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017018200 fall within The Shades (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017018200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 108 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017018200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.29% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017018200 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017018200 compare to Union City overall?
Tract 34017018200 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Union City at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017018200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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