Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,339 of 84,120 nationally
Raritan Gardens Eviction Risk: High , New Brunswick
Tract 34023009300 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 4,866 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
34023009300 is a census tract in the Raritan Gardens area of New Brunswick, NJ. It scores 9.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,866 residents. Against the Middlesex County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 4.0 points.
Risk score
9.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 58%
Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units2,611
Renter share93.7%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate37.6%
Median income$90,865
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Brunswick and the region
Centroid at 40.4934, -74.4404 · click any tract to drill in
Why Raritan Gardens scores 9.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Brunswick
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
37.6% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$2,310 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Brunswick
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Brunswick
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Brunswick
8.7
How Raritan Gardens compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 145Total filings over 1 yrs
- 7.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.1%Peak (2015)
- 145Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Raritan Gardens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.9%Housing insecurity
- 13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.3%Food insecurity
- 20.4%SNAP enrollment
- 14.9%Transit barriers
- 19.9%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 32.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Raritan Gardens
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10. 94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, economic stress reads 9.4/10.
The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9/10.
Average gross rent is $2,310, 27% above the New Brunswick average. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Cost burden runs 38% here against 44.9% across Middlesex County. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.9% against 11.3% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 145 evictions over 1 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 21.9% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2015 at 7.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 7.1% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023009300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023009300?
Census tract 34023009300 in the Raritan Gardens neighborhood scores 9.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023009300?
Median gross rent is $2,310/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023009300?
37.6% of residents in tract 34023009300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,866.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023009300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 65th, minority 79th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 34023009300 considered part of Raritan Gardens?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023009300 fall within Raritan Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023009300?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 145 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023009300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.14% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023009300 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023009300 compare to New Brunswick overall?
Tract 34023009300 scores 9.7/10, higher than the parent city of New Brunswick at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Brunswick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Brunswick
Top eight tracts in New Brunswick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
34023005100
9.7
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34023005200
9.7
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34023005300
9.7
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34023005500
9.7
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34023005602
9.7
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34023005700
9.7
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Raritan Gardens
9.7
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Raritan Gardens
9.7
/ 10 · Very High
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