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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,339 of 84,120 nationally

Raritan Gardens Eviction Risk: High , New Brunswick

Tract 34023006002 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 7,125 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

34023006002 is a census tract in the Raritan Gardens area of New Brunswick, NJ. It scores 9.7/10 for landlords. Against the Middlesex County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 4.0 points.

Risk score
9.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 39% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,167
Renter share88.3%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate32.3%
Median income$56,060

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Raritan Gardens
High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 11 tracts In New Brunswick
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Brunswick and the region

Centroid at 40.4836, -74.4297 · click any tract to drill in

Why Raritan Gardens scores 9.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Brunswick
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
32.3% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$1,655 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Brunswick
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Brunswick
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Brunswick
8.7

How Raritan Gardens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Raritan Gardens risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.7This tracttract 0060028.3New Brunswickparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 290Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 27.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.2%Peak (2015)
  • 290Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Raritan Gardens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Raritan Gardens

35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10.

88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9/10.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $56,060, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Middlesex County average of 44.9%. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 290 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Food insecurity runs 25.4% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2015, when 27.2% of renter households were served. Average gross rent is $1,655, 9% below the New Brunswick average.

In a typical year about 27.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #2,339 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023006002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023006002?

Census tract 34023006002 in the Raritan Gardens neighborhood scores 9.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023006002?

Median gross rent is $1,655/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023006002?

32.3% of residents in tract 34023006002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,125.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023006002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 15th, minority 76th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 34023006002 considered part of Raritan Gardens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023006002 fall within Raritan Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023006002?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 290 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023006002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.15% of renter households, peaking at 27.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023006002 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023006002 compare to New Brunswick overall?

Tract 34023006002 scores 9.7/10, higher than the parent city of New Brunswick at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Brunswick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Brunswick

Top eight tracts in New Brunswick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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