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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Avenel Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 34023002805 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 2,604 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Eviction risk in the Avenel neighborhood of Avenel centers on tract 34023002805, which scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,604 residents. That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,775 a month against an average household income of $125,104 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 6% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units837
Renter share12.1%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$125,104

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Avenel
Very Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Avenel
Low
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#1,113 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avenel and the region

Centroid at 40.5672, -74.2796 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avenel scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avenel
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,775 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avenel
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avenel
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avenel
4.5

How Avenel compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avenel risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 002805Avenel: 7.37.3Avenelparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak (2015)
  • 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Avenel. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avenel

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Avenel, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 2 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 1.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.7% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023002805

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023002805?

Census tract 34023002805 in the Avenel neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023002805?

Median gross rent is $2,775/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023002805?

4.1% of residents in tract 34023002805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,604.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023002805?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 27th, minority 56th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 34023002805 considered part of Avenel?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023002805 fall within Avenel (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023002805?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023002805 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.71% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023002805 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023002805 compare to Avenel overall?

Tract 34023002805 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Avenel at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avenel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avenel

Top eight tracts in Avenel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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