Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Avenel Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34023002701 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 5,130 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 34023002701 covers the Avenel area of Avenel in New Jersey. Home to 5,130 residents, it scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,643 a month while the average household earns $80,030 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,013
Renter share64.8%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$80,030
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avenel and the region
Centroid at 40.5852, -74.2861 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avenel scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avenel
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,643 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avenel
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avenel
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avenel
4.7
How Avenel compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 280Total filings over 1 yrs
- 24.37%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.4%Peak (2015)
- 280Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Avenel. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.9%Food insecurity
- 8.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 23.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avenel
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Avenel, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 280 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 24.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 24.4% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023002701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023002701?
Census tract 34023002701 in the Avenel neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023002701?
Median gross rent is $1,643/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023002701?
5.8% of residents in tract 34023002701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,130.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023002701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 70th, minority 80th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 34023002701 considered part of Avenel?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023002701 fall within Avenel (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023002701?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 280 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023002701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.37% of renter households, peaking at 24.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023002701 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023002701 compare to Avenel overall?
Q9
Was tract 34023002701 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avenel
Top eight tracts in Avenel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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