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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Avenel Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34023002701 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 5,130 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

34023002701 is a census tract in the Avenel area of Avenel, NJ. It scores 6.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,130 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 32% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,013
Renter share64.8%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$80,030

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Avenel
Elevated
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Avenel
Moderate
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#808 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avenel and the region

Centroid at 40.5852, -74.2861 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avenel scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avenel
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,643 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avenel
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avenel
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avenel
4.7

How Avenel compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avenel risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.5This tracttract 0027016.1Avenelparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 280Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 24.37%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.4%Peak (2015)
  • 280Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Avenel. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avenel

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10.

16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against Middlesex County at 44.9%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Court records carry 280 eviction filings across 1 observed years. It sits 0.8 points above the Middlesex County average of 5.7.

At $1,643 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Avenel commands. SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 24.4% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 24.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023002701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023002701?

Census tract 34023002701 in the Avenel neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023002701?

Median gross rent is $1,643/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023002701?

5.8% of residents in tract 34023002701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,130.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023002701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 70th, minority 80th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 34023002701 considered part of Avenel?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023002701 fall within Avenel (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023002701?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 280 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023002701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.37% of renter households, peaking at 24.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023002701 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023002701 compare to Avenel overall?

Tract 34023002701 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Avenel at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avenel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34023002701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avenel

Top eight tracts in Avenel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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