Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Avenel Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34023002703 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 6,531 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 34023002703 covers part of the Avenel area of Avenel, NJ, and scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. 30% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Middlesex County average of 44.9%.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 31% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,847
Renter share44.6%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$104,841

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Avenel
Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Avenel
Very Low
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#63 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#940 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avenel and the region

Centroid at 40.5770, -74.2795 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avenel scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avenel
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,805 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avenel
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avenel
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avenel
4.7

How Avenel compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avenel risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 0027036.1Avenelparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 151Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 21.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.0%Peak (2015)
  • 151Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Avenel. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avenel

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 151 filings here across 1 tracked years.

SNAP participation runs 7.9% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2015, when 21.0% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 21.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.4/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023002703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023002703?

Census tract 34023002703 in the Avenel neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023002703?

Median gross rent is $1,805/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023002703?

8.2% of residents in tract 34023002703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,531.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023002703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 35th, minority 73th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 34023002703 considered part of Avenel?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023002703 fall within Avenel (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023002703?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 151 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023002703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.00% of renter households, peaking at 21.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023002703 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023002703 compare to Avenel overall?

Tract 34023002703 scores 6.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Avenel at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avenel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avenel

Top eight tracts in Avenel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related