Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Avenel Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 34023009000 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 6,650 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
34023009000 is a census tract in the Avenel area of Avenel, NJ. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,650. Cost burden runs around a third here against 44.9% across Middlesex County.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,256
Renter share59.2%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$83,478
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avenel and the region
Centroid at 40.5822, -74.2600 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avenel scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avenel
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$2,141 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avenel
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avenel
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avenel
4.7
How Avenel compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 222Total filings over 1 yrs
- 33.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 33.5%Peak (2015)
- 222Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Avenel. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.1%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.5%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.2%Transit barriers
- 16.2%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avenel
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9/10. Against the Middlesex County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.
The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The filing record is not thin: 222 evictions over 1 years of observation. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.1/10.
At $2,141 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Avenel commands. The worst year on record was 2015, when 33.5% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 33.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023009000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023009000?
Census tract 34023009000 in the Avenel neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023009000?
Median gross rent is $2,141/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023009000?
14.2% of residents in tract 34023009000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,650.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023009000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 34th, minority 77th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 34023009000 considered part of Avenel?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023009000 fall within Avenel (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023009000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 222 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023009000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 33.53% of renter households, peaking at 33.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023009000 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023009000 compare to Avenel overall?
Q9
Was tract 34023009000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avenel
Top eight tracts in Avenel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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