Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Avenel Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34023009000 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 6,650 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Avenel in Avenel is where census tract 34023009000 sits, home to 6,650 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.4/10. That is riskier than about 85% of US census tracts.
31% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,141 a month while the average household earns $83,478 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,256
Renter share59.2%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$83,478
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avenel and the region
Centroid at 40.5822, -74.2600 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avenel scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avenel
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$2,141 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avenel
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avenel
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avenel
4.7
How Avenel compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 222Total filings over 1 yrs
- 33.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 33.5%Peak (2015)
- 222Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Avenel. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.1%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.5%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.2%Transit barriers
- 16.2%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avenel
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Avenel, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 1% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 222 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 33.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 33.5% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023009000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023009000?
Census tract 34023009000 in the Avenel neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023009000?
Median gross rent is $2,141/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023009000?
14.2% of residents in tract 34023009000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,650.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023009000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 34th, minority 77th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 34023009000 considered part of Avenel?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023009000 fall within Avenel (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023009000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 222 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023009000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 33.53% of renter households, peaking at 33.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023009000 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023009000 compare to Avenel overall?
Q9
Was tract 34023009000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avenel
Top eight tracts in Avenel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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