Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Forked River Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 34029732001 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 6,859 · 0% of tract blocks fall in Forked River
Census tract 34029732001 covers part of Forked River, NJ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,859 residents. At $1,091 a month, rents run 50% under what the rest of Forked River commands.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,444
Renter share7.5%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$134,613
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
3
th percentile
Very Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forked River and the region
Centroid at 39.8702, -74.3059 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forked River scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forked River
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,091 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forked River
3.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forked River
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forked River
4.4
How Forked River compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 10%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 127Total filings over 6 yrs
- 18.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.5%Peak (2014)
- 9Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 68% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.2%Food insecurity
- 4.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forked River
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. It sits 2.0 points below the Ocean County average of 5.0.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. SNAP participation runs 4.5% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Court records carry 127 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 26.5% of renter households.
In a typical year about 18.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029732001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029732001?
Census tract 34029732001 in Forked River scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029732001?
Median gross rent is $1,091/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029732001?
1.8% of residents in tract 34029732001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,859.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029732001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 18th, minority 10th, housing 11th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029732001?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 127 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029732001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.34% of renter households, peaking at 26.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34029732001 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34029732001 compare to Forked River overall?
Tract 34029732001 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Forked River at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forked River; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forked River
Top eight tracts in Forked River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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