Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Forked River Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34029732104 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 3,661 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Forked River
Census tract 34029732104 covers part of Forked River, NJ, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.7/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,678
Renter share5.1%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$85,783
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forked River and the region
Centroid at 39.8216, -74.1712 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forked River scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forked River
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,975 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forked River
3.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forked River
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forked River
4.4
How Forked River compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 132Total filings over 6 yrs
- 9.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.3%Peak (2015)
- 22Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.8%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forked River
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.7/10. Court records carry 132 eviction filings across 6 observed years.
SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2015, when 12.3% of renter households were served.
Average gross rent is $1,975, 9% below the Forked River average. In a typical year about 9.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029732104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029732104?
Census tract 34029732104 in Forked River scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029732104?
Median gross rent is $1,975/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029732104?
12.8% of residents in tract 34029732104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,661.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029732104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 62th, minority 12th, housing 6th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029732104?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 132 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029732104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.57% of renter households, peaking at 12.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34029732104 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34029732104 compare to Forked River overall?
Tract 34029732104 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Forked River at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forked River; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forked River
Top eight tracts in Forked River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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