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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Sunrise Beach Eviction Risk: Lower , Forked River

Tract 34029732103 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 3,276 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 3.3/10, tract 34029732103 in the Sunrise Beach area of Forked River, NJ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,276. Cost burden runs 10% here against 50.5% across Ocean County.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 13% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,306
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$108,910

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Sunrise Beach
Very Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Forked River
Low
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#127 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
Very Low
Within state
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#2,023 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Forked River and the region

Centroid at 39.8376, -74.1710 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sunrise Beach scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Forked River
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,254 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forked River
3.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forked River
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forked River
4.4

How Sunrise Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sunrise Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 732103Forked River: 4.44.4Forked Riverparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.06.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 38Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 6.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.4%Peak (2014)
  • 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340297321032013: 6 filings (7.79/100 renter HHs)2014: 8 filings (10.39/100 renter HHs)2015: 7 filings (9.09/100 renter HHs)2016: 3 filings (2.34/100 renter HHs)2017: 7 filings (5.47/100 renter HHs)2018: 7 filings (5.47/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sunrise Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sunrise Beach

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. It sits 1.7 points below the Ocean County average of 5.0.

SNAP participation runs 5.4% against 15.2% nationally. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.7/10.

The filing record is not thin: 38 evictions over 6 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2014 at 10.4% of renter households.

In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 2.7 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34029732103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029732103?

Census tract 34029732103 in the Sunrise Beach neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34029732103?

Median gross rent is $2,254/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34029732103?

3.5% of residents in tract 34029732103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,276.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34029732103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 39th, minority 36th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 34029732103 considered part of Sunrise Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029732103 fall within Sunrise Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029732103?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029732103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.76% of renter households, peaking at 10.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34029732103 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34029732103 compare to Forked River overall?

Tract 34029732103 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Forked River at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forked River; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Forked River

Top eight tracts in Forked River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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