Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Barnegat Pines Eviction Risk: Lower , Forked River
Tract 34029732003 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 4,788 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 34029732003 covers part of the Barnegat Pines area of Forked River, NJ, and scores 3.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,788 residents. 79% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Ocean County average of 50.5%.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,689
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$93,234
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
20
th percentile
Low
Within state
11
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forked River and the region
Centroid at 39.8502, -74.2051 · click any tract to drill in
Why Barnegat Pines scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forked River
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,182 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forked River
3.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forked River
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forked River
4.4
How Barnegat Pines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Barnegat Pines. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.4%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 8.7%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 23.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Barnegat Pines
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. It sits 1.4 points below the Ocean County average of 5.0.
SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.7/10.
Food insecurity runs 10.4% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 2.4 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029732003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029732003?
Census tract 34029732003 in the Barnegat Pines neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029732003?
Median gross rent is $2,182/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029732003?
2.5% of residents in tract 34029732003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,788.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029732003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 6th, minority 54th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 34029732003 considered part of Barnegat Pines?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029732003 fall within Barnegat Pines (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 34029732003 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34029732003 compare to Forked River overall?
Tract 34029732003 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Forked River at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forked River; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forked River
Top eight tracts in Forked River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related