2 census tracts · pop 3,228 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10
· range 4.8–7.6
Bay Shore spans 2 census tracts of Seaside Heights, NJ, population 3,228. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Seaside Heights baseline of 51.0%, 40% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 4.8 to 7.6. A 2.8-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 7.3/10.
Running cool is economic stress, at 2.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 161 evictions logged in this tract. Average gross rent is $1,669, 13% above the Seaside Heights average of $1,480.
The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 21.6% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 14.2% in 2018 against a 21.6% peak.
At 23% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $84,370.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bay Shore vs Seaside HeightsHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority31%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport3%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Bay Shore
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
161Total filings (sum)
12.55%Avg annual filing rate
21.6%Peak year (2016)
14.20%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bay Shore
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.9%Housing insecurity
6.7%Utility shutoff threat
12.3%Food insecurity
7.4%SNAP enrollment
9.5%No health insurance
24.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Bay Shore
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Bay Shore?
Bay Shore scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Bay Shore compare to Seaside Heights overall?
Bay Shore scores 2.1 points lower than Seaside Heights overall (7.3/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 51% citywide. Average rent: $1,669 vs $1,480.
Q3
What is the average rent in Bay Shore?
Average gross rent in Bay Shore is $1,669/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Bay Shore residents are renters?
23% of Bay Shore households are renter-occupied (vs 60% in Seaside Heights). The neighborhood has 3,228 residents.
Q5
Is Bay Shore a high social-vulnerability area?
Bay Shore sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Bay Shore have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Bay Shore is census tract 34029728004 (score 7.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 7.6, a spread of 2.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Bay Shore for landlords?
Bay Shore carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Seaside Heights as a whole (7.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Bay Shore?
Bay Shore has 3,387 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.6%), Hispanic / Latino (12.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
