Skip to content
Neighborhood · Seaside Heights, NJ

Bay Shore Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 3,228 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4–6.1

Bay Shore is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Seaside Heights with 2 census tracts and a population of 3,228 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 40% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,669/month sits 13% higher than the Seaside Heights citywide average ($1,480).

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bay Shore vs Seaside Heights How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.6% -22%
Seaside Heights: 51.0%
Average gross rent
$1,669 +13%
Seaside Heights: $1,480
Average HH income
$84,370 +43%
Seaside Heights: $58,988
Poverty rate
11.0% -68%
Seaside Heights: 34.4%
Renter share
22.9% -62%
Seaside Heights: 60.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Shore and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4–6.1

Why Bay Shore scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 6.9–9.6 across tracts
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.9 across tracts
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 4.4–9.6 across tracts
5.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.3–9.5 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
11.0% below poverty line · Range 2.7–2.8 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–3.6 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Bay Shore vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bay Shore score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Bay Shore: 4.34.3Bay ShoreNeighborhoodParent city: 7.17.1Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bay Shore

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
34029728004 6.1 506 49% $1,235
34029723500 4 2,722 38% $1,750
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 14

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 24%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 31%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 3%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bay Shore

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 161Total filings (sum)
  • 12.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.6%Peak year (2016)
  • 14.20%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bay Shore

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bay Shore

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bay Shore?

Bay Shore scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bay Shore compare to Seaside Heights overall?

Bay Shore scores 2.8 points lower than Seaside Heights overall (7.1/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 51% citywide. Average rent: $1,669 vs $1,480.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bay Shore?

Average gross rent in Bay Shore is $1,669/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bay Shore residents are renters?

23% of Bay Shore households are renter-occupied (vs 60% in Seaside Heights). The neighborhood has 3,228 residents.
Q5

Is Bay Shore a high social-vulnerability area?

Bay Shore sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bay Shore have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bay Shore is census tract 34029728004 (score 6.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 6.1, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Bay Shore for landlords?

Bay Shore carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Seaside Heights as a whole (7.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bay Shore?

Bay Shore has 3,387 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.6%), Hispanic / Latino (12.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bay Shore

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further