Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Eagle Trace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toms River
Tract 34029722003 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 7,136 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 34029722003 covers the Eagle Trace neighborhood of Toms River, home to 7,136 residents. For landlords it grades 6.4/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 66% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,259 monthly, set against $73,875 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,476
Renter share25.1%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$73,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
High
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toms River and the region
Centroid at 40.0237, -74.2273 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eagle Trace scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toms River
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,259 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toms River
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toms River
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toms River
5.3
How Eagle Trace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.3%Food insecurity
- 9.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 12.5%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eagle Trace
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toms River eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Ocean County average of 6.3 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029722003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029722003?
Census tract 34029722003 in the Eagle Trace neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029722003?
Median gross rent is $1,259/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029722003?
11.1% of residents in tract 34029722003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,136.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029722003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 89th, minority 43th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 34029722003 considered part of Eagle Trace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029722003 fall within Eagle Trace (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 34029722003 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34029722003 compare to Toms River overall?
Tract 34029722003 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Toms River at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toms River eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toms River
Top eight tracts in Toms River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Four Seasons
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Island Beach Heights
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Bay Shore
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
The Landings
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
34029722001
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NJ
Chestnut Run
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NJ
Maple Shade
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NJ
Oak Ridge
3.5
/ 10 · Low
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