Within parent city
74
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Toms River Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34029722001 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 4,808
Tract 34029722001 sits in Toms River eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,142
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$67,679
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toms River and the region
Centroid at 40.0475, -74.2456 · click any tract to drill in
Why Toms River scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toms River
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,103 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toms River
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toms River
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toms River
5.3
How Toms River compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 64Total filings over 6 yrs
- 3.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2014)
- 15Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.5%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Toms River
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. At $1,103 a month, rents run 36% under what the rest of Toms River commands.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10.
Against Ocean County at 50.5%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 64 eviction filings across 6 observed years.
Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2014 at 5.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029722001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029722001?
Census tract 34029722001 in Toms River scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029722001?
Median gross rent is $1,103/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029722001?
6.0% of residents in tract 34029722001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,808.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029722001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 63th, minority 28th, housing 23th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029722001?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 64 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029722001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.46% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34029722001 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34029722001 compare to Toms River overall?
Tract 34029722001 scores 4.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Toms River at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toms River eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toms River
Top eight tracts in Toms River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Four Seasons
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Island Beach Heights
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Eagle Trace
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
The Landings
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Bay Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Chestnut Run
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Maple Shade
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Oak Ridge
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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