Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally
Allentown Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo
Tract 36029006802 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,188 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 36029006802 covers part of the Allentown area of Buffalo, NY, and scores 8.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,188 residents. It sits 2.0 points above the Erie County average of 6.8.
Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,398
Renter share64.3%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$50,640
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Buffalo and the region
Centroid at 42.8992, -78.8784 · click any tract to drill in
Why Allentown scores 8.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,059 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
How Allentown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Allentown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.4%Food insecurity
- 9.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 18.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Allentown
The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is local political climate at 8/10.
Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Disability prevalence runs 18.5% against 31.5% nationally.
Against Erie County at 44.6%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.
Food insecurity runs 10.4% against 17.8% nationally. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.4/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029006802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029006802?
Census tract 36029006802 in the Allentown neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029006802?
Median gross rent is $1,059/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029006802?
15.6% of residents in tract 36029006802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,188.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029006802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 6th, minority 34th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 36029006802 considered part of Allentown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029006802 fall within Allentown (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36029006802 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36029006802 compare to Buffalo overall?
Tract 36029006802 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 36029006802 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo
Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NY
East Side
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Kensington
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
East Side
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Kensington
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Kensington
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Five Points
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
East Side
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Upper West Side
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
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